Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.090405 5.527320 6.013095 6.599325 7.296164 8.109513 9.148752
2025-01-19 4.319204 4.836834 5.447001 6.235654 7.254531 8.568742 10.473632
2025-01-26 4.051306 4.673902 5.451628 6.532116 8.065700 10.303646 14.171394
2025-02-02 3.974215 4.729105 5.732520 7.246217 9.660273 13.842620 23.542081
2025-02-09 3.780146 4.604210 5.753508 7.608717 10.893057 17.676622 40.983287
2025-02-16 3.576753 4.439345 5.691162 7.834444 12.020294 22.476450 90.008964
2025-02-23 3.375945 4.253699 5.569436 7.937860 12.997775 28.464757 474.030661
2025-03-02 3.110418 3.946824 5.219941 7.568284 12.821941 30.879124 NaN
2025-03-09 2.931950 3.753763 5.029469 7.459055 13.247554 37.054892 NaN
2025-03-16 2.722754 3.497698 4.709656 7.046544 12.756066 38.179448 NaN
2025-03-23 2.620731 3.398021 4.639057 7.117073 13.635354 51.517826 NaN
2025-03-30 2.507322 3.271753 4.509887 7.044144 14.087580 66.270650 NaN
2025-04-06 2.347957 3.076299 4.266904 6.743663 13.888623 78.271020 NaN
2025-04-13 2.197198 2.885998 4.018402 6.398037 13.428349 86.548986 NaN
2025-04-20 2.154408 2.865697 4.069419 6.735624 15.720176 395.068360 NaN
2025-04-27 2.160884 2.926127 4.276475 7.516836 21.259924 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.119690 2.903227 4.323962 7.925493 26.310174 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.066188 2.854798 4.315303 8.185613 31.661670 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.005488 2.789200 4.264146 8.310967 36.937474 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.910473 2.657182 4.062652 7.919844 35.238014 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.844069 2.572602 3.954124 7.808492 37.379682 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.758123 2.449028 3.754360 7.366489 33.981676 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.716625 2.402959 3.715438 7.446664 39.023362 NaN NaN